Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
31–9 on winners spread MAE 8.7 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Arkansas -3.4 152.2 38% 76–80 ✗
Kentucky @ South Carolina -12.9 141.5 12% 86–76 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +3.9 136.3 64% 70–62 ✗
Evansville @ Indiana State +12.7 131.5 88% 65–56 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider +2.6 144.3 59% 67–76 ✓
Marist @ Monmouth +8.0 135.7 77% 83–58 ✗
Fordham @ St. Bonaventure +7.8 135.9 76% 51–76 ✓
Lipscomb @ Liberty +15.9 146.3 93% 69–78 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +2.8 129.3 60% 73–77 ✓
Iowa State @ West Virginia +0.8 125.0 53% 63–79 ✓
Rhode Island @ VCU +5.7 115.5 70% 64–73 ✓
Saint Louis @ La Salle -11.1 147.3 16% 75–57 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ball State +11.3 149.9 85% 89–85 ✗
Ohio @ Toledo +5.1 145.3 68% 62–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +11.9 147.8 86% 57–62 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kent State +7.0 149.6 74% 68–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo +13.1 154.0 88% 64–102 ✓
LSU @ Texas A&M -5.5 130.9 31% 76–68 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +0.8 143.0 53% 76–67 ✗
East Carolina @ Tulsa +4.8 142.5 67% 73–71 ✗
Syracuse @ Boston College -3.1 147.6 39% 73–64 ✓
Akron @ Northern Illinois -6.4 124.7 28% 70–64 ✓
Villanova @ St. John's -9.1 146.6 20% 75–69 ✓
Illinois @ Purdue +5.6 153.2 69% 68–84 ✓
Wichita State @ UCF +1.0 134.7 54% 66–71 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +9.2 123.6 80% 52–54 ✓
Missouri @ Vanderbilt +9.2 131.1 80% 62–70 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming +3.1 145.6 61% 76–78 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State -0.6 128.2 48% 58–57 ✓
Indiana @ Northwestern +0.1 139.8 50% 51–59 ✓
Pacific @ USC +21.3 133.3 97% 68–74 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +17.8 141.4 95% 69–68 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State +0.9 148.6 53% 61–71 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +9.5 124.7 81% 44–78 ✓
UCLA @ Stanford -8.0 140.3 23% 79–70 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -2.2 140.7 42% 72–77 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada -5.6 152.1 31% 82–72 ✓
Columbia @ Cornell +18.2 160.2 95% 75–88 ✓
Hampton @ UNC Asheville +10.6 131.5 83% 53–69 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +15.2 145.6 92% 63–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.