Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -2.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -2.0 (+2.0) | 134.9 (+15.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.2 (+0.8) | 132.4 (+17.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.1 (-0.1) | 133.8 (+16.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.8 (+0.2) | 132.5 (+17.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#54) | 9.7 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#37) | 1.38 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#36) | 1.97 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#68) | 0.566 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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