Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -0.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -0.9 (+9.1) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -1.5 (+8.5) | 144.1 (-12.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -1.0 (+9.0) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.6 (+9.4) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#183) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#150) | 0.55 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#140) | 0.51 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#145) | 0.520 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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