Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Florida Gators
72 – 63
FINAL Conference
Georgia Bulldogs
Southeastern Conference · Stephen C. O'Connell Center · February 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FLA -14.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total FLA win
Actual FLA +9 135 Won
Massey FLA -15.4 (-6.4) — —
Massey Totals — 146.1 (-11.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FLA -13.1 (-4.1) 144.3 (-9.3) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FLA -12.8 (-3.8) 146.9 (-11.9) 88% ✓
Baseline ML FLA -13.2 (-4.2) 147.0 (-12.0) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FLA -13.0 (-4.0) 145.0 (-10.0) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 FLA 86 – 66 UGA
Jan 7, 2026 FLA 92 – 77 UGA
Feb 26, 2025 UGA 88 – 83 FLA
Jan 25, 2025 FLA 89 – 59 UGA
Mar 15, 2024 FLA 85 – 80 UGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FLA UGA
Overall 20-14 6-26
Conference 9-9 1-17
Home 13-5 6-13
Away 4-7 0-10
Neutral 3-2 0-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L12
Avg Pts For 70.6 69.8
Avg Pts Against 66.5 78.5
Massey 10.9 (#37) -1.3 (#196)
Bradley-Terry 1.64 (#61) -0.67 (#233)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.91 (#65) -0.75 (#223)
RPI 0.560 (#74) 0.460 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors FLA UGA
FG% 42.7% 44.3%
3PT% 30.5% 32.0%
REB / G 34.3 34.3
OREB / G 11.5 9.0
AST / TO 0.99 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 50.1%
TOV% 19.3% 20.4%
ORB% 32.8% 26.8%
FT Rate 27.6% 29.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 23.1% 15.6%
DRB% 68.5% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 17.3%

Game Analysis

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