Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -17.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -16.4 (-17.4) | 146.2 (-9.2) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -15.3 (-16.3) | 145.0 (-8.0) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -15.9 (-16.9) | 144.1 (-7.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -15.6 (-16.6) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SF 73 – 68 PORT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SF 81 – 72 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SF 76 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#38) | -3.5 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#33) | -0.43 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#26) | -0.51 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#31) | 0.471 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.