Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | STMN +130 KC -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -1.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -0.5 (-9.5) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -1.0 (-8.0) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -1.1 (-7.9) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -2.1 (-6.9) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#277) | -4.3 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#299) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#278) | -0.06 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#284) | 0.489 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.