Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RID -2.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.8 (+8.2) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.2 (+7.8) | 141.9 (+1.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.0 (+8.0) | 142.4 (+0.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -1.0 (+8.0) | 141.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#285) | -5.9 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#278) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#273) | -0.70 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#292) | 0.480 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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