Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +2 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -9.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -8.3 (-6.3) | 128.3 (-22.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -7.6 (-5.6) | 128.6 (-22.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -7.9 (-5.9) | 129.1 (-23.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -7.2 (-5.2) | 129.3 (-23.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#78) | 1.2 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 1.02 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#40) | 1.47 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#81) | 0.518 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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