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Texas A&M Aggies
68 – 76
FINAL Conference
LSU Tigers
Southeastern Conference · Reed Arena · February 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 133.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual LSU +8 144 Lost
Massey LSU -6.1 (-1.9) — —
Massey Totals — 130.5 (+13.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 36% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LSU -3.1 (-4.9) 134.5 (+9.5) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LSU -3.8 (-4.2) 136.5 (+7.5) 34% ✓
Baseline ML LSU -3.3 (-4.7) 135.8 (+8.2) 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LSU -2.5 (-5.5) 136.8 (+7.2) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 TA&M 94 – 91 LSU
Jan 3, 2026 TA&M 75 – 72 LSU
Mar 8, 2025 TA&M 66 – 52 LSU
Jan 19, 2025 TA&M 68 – 57 LSU
Jan 20, 2024 TA&M 73 – 69 LSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M LSU
Overall 27-13 22-12
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 16-4 15-2
Away 5-5 3-8
Neutral 6-4 4-2
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.9 72.6
Avg Pts Against 66.4 63.4
Massey 7.7 (#68) 17.0 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 1.45 (#72) 2.37 (#30)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.77 (#75) 2.94 (#29)
RPI 0.541 (#100) 0.621 (#19)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M LSU
FG% 44.8% 43.9%
3PT% 34.4% 32.5%
REB / G 34.6 38.8
OREB / G 11.7 12.3
AST / TO 1.04 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 49.3%
TOV% 19.1% 20.7%
ORB% 33.6% 34.0%
FT Rate 22.4% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 44.3%
Opp TOV% 24.7% 25.3%
DRB% 66.8% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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