Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +8 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | NU -0.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.2 (+6.8) | 139.8 (-29.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -1.1 (+6.9) | 141.0 (-31.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -0.8 (+7.2) | 141.2 (-31.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -1.5 (+6.5) | 144.0 (-34.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#58) | 11.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#96) | 2.06 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#94) | 2.59 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.578 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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