Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–12 on winners spread MAE 9.4 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Wichita State -9.8 140.6 19% 63–68 ✗
Iowa @ Wisconsin -1.6 150.9 44% 77–62 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -5.9 129.0 30% 70–62 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC -1.9 134.2 43% 80–71 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +8.4 136.2 78% 88–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Penn State -3.8 149.7 36% 92–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Belmont +11.1 150.7 84% 59–63 ✓
BYU @ Pacific -7.2 139.2 26% 80–52 ✓
Utah @ Oregon State -3.0 135.4 39% 56–74 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Murray State +14.8 138.7 91% 68–59 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay +9.8 145.4 81% 57–79 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +19.5 143.5 96% 65–87 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan +9.5 138.1 81% 64–71 ✓
Arizona @ UCLA +0.9 145.3 53% 60–74 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ UT Martin -15.3 156.0 8% 89–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +3.2 135.8 61% 86–91 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point -9.9 148.2 18% 76–70 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +8.0 134.0 77% 71–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +3.6 137.9 63% 68–63 ✗
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +5.2 150.4 68% 69–88 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +17.5 149.6 94% 59–92 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington +7.1 143.7 74% 76–90 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State -15.4 129.5 8% 67–53 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +14.5 133.1 91% 64–84 ✓
California @ Washington State +5.0 131.1 68% 51–82 ✓
Stanford @ Washington -8.4 143.0 22% 79–61 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon -2.2 140.6 42% 56–60 ✗
Vermont @ UMBC -1.9 134.2 43% 55–66 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield -6.6 136.6 27% 80–69 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +2.9 150.5 60% 72–70 ✗
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -5.9 129.0 30% 64–58 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton -3.0 143.2 39% 73–68 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky -12.2 142.2 13% 75–81 ✗
Oakland @ Milwaukee +4.7 158.2 66% 85–81 ✗
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +10.6 152.6 83% 74–85 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +1.5 139.6 55% 65–63 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State +11.3 141.6 85% 66–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.