Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
20–5 on winners spread MAE 9.0 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northeastern @ North Carolina +12.3 133.9 87% 62–82 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.2 167.3 62% 90–87 ✗
Richmond @ VCU +3.5 143.9 63% 56–68 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +4.4 132.0 66% 65–81 ✓
Nebraska @ Maryland +11.3 133.5 85% 71–79 ✓
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt -2.4 139.3 41% 82–78 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +5.3 141.4 69% 71–64 ✗
The Citadel @ Wofford +8.0 161.6 77% 67–81 ✓
Samford @ Furman +16.6 156.2 93% 64–78 ✓
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +8.5 146.1 78% 81–89 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -1.3 145.4 45% 77–88 ✗
Arizona State @ USC +15.1 150.0 92% 71–89 ✓
Valparaiso @ Loyola Chicago +22.9 126.1 98% 52–54 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -13.8 135.9 11% 59–41 ✓
Drake @ Northern Iowa -10.8 145.1 16% 77–69 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico -7.6 141.3 25% 83–74 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +14.0 139.2 90% 52–60 ✓
Duke @ Wake Forest -1.6 145.8 44% 84–60 ✓
South Carolina @ Tennessee +13.5 141.6 89% 73–93 ✓
Minnesota @ Indiana +3.8 145.4 63% 72–82 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +1.8 137.6 56% 70–79 ✓
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois -7.3 138.2 25% 68–53 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian +3.5 132.9 63% 65–51 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Radford +1.6 133.9 56% 77–49 ✗
Campbell @ Hampton -1.0 143.7 46% 76–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.