You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–10 on winners spread MAE 9.8 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.0 164.7 67% 89–85 ✗
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +10.0 129.7 82% 53–59 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -3.4 144.6 38% 58–73 ✗
Cincinnati @ Temple -0.6 138.2 48% 63–60 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +10.7 159.3 84% 78–70 ✗
Murray State @ Morehead State +3.2 125.6 61% 56–66 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +10.0 158.6 82% 94–79 ✗
BYU @ Portland -20.4 150.4 3% 105–60 ✓
Belmont @ Eastern Illinois -12.7 152.1 12% 89–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -20.6 159.1 3% 76–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State +5.6 141.4 69% 71–91 ✓
Stanford @ California -7.0 133.6 26% 70–55 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +4.8 143.0 67% 72–76 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -11.6 156.5 15% 74–72 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -13.2 129.5 11% 69–53 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State +6.6 142.9 73% 64–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UT Martin -12.1 142.3 13% 82–70 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +10.3 142.4 83% 88–96 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -16.9 144.0 6% 89–75 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -1.2 127.0 46% 70–64 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +11.2 135.6 85% 74–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver -3.9 143.6 36% 85–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.2 136.5 51% 74–69 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +5.7 138.6 70% 62–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +3.1 138.1 61% 54–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.0 146.6 50% 84–81 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +10.7 159.3 84% 77–62 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +5.5 149.6 69% 80–71 ✗
Little Rock @ Texas State +2.1 130.9 58% 47–57 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +9.6 135.1 81% 66–102 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +4.6 139.3 66% 87–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +8.6 157.4 78% 72–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.