I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–10 on winners spread MAE 8.1 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Indiana -11.6 147.8 17% 87–66 ✓
TCU @ Cincinnati +3.5 145.3 65% 77–81 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +4.4 139.5 67% 69–58 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State +2.2 145.7 61% 76–83 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +12.0 148.9 88% 66–88 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +16.7 160.5 90% 75–93 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne +1.3 136.4 55% 63–61 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ohio +7.2 144.2 79% 61–73 ✓
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +1.4 144.3 56% 78–73 ✗
Western Michigan @ Akron +13.5 145.0 88% 66–77 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan -0.3 140.1 47% 76–62 ✓
Buffalo @ Toledo +13.4 149.6 87% 66–77 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -3.6 144.1 38% 64–68 ✗
Saint Louis @ Dayton +16.1 147.2 90% 65–70 ✓
Temple @ SMU +15.6 136.9 90% 64–77 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -4.8 136.7 27% 81–79 ✓
Kent State @ Northern Illinois +0.3 152.1 53% 83–76 ✗
St. John's @ Seton Hall +0.1 143.4 51% 65–80 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -6.4 139.7 27% 90–66 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -7.9 146.7 25% 83–87 ✗
Iowa State @ BYU +4.8 141.8 69% 72–87 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +12.2 149.4 87% 93–90 ✗
Georgia @ South Carolina +6.2 135.4 75% 74–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Arkansas -3.1 145.5 41% 77–78 ✗
Air Force @ Colorado State +16.1 134.5 90% 69–78 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +0.1 138.5 51% 82–85 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +6.9 139.9 78% 68–64 ✗
Utah State @ New Mexico +3.0 150.7 64% 86–99 ✓
Colgate @ Army -8.2 124.9 21% 64–56 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.2 157.5 14% 100–60 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +10.0 139.6 84% 68–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.