The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–11 on winners spread MAE 8.2 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Indiana -10.5 149.3 20% 87–66 ✓
TCU @ Cincinnati +3.7 144.8 70% 77–81 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +4.5 140.9 68% 69–58 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State +2.0 146.7 62% 76–83 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +12.9 148.3 87% 66–88 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +18.5 159.9 90% 75–93 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne +1.1 135.3 48% 63–61 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ohio +7.4 143.6 78% 61–73 ✓
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +1.3 146.1 54% 78–73 ✗
Western Michigan @ Akron +13.1 145.2 86% 66–77 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan -0.1 141.1 43% 76–62 ✓
Buffalo @ Toledo +12.8 150.4 86% 66–77 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -2.1 143.7 40% 64–68 ✗
Saint Louis @ Dayton +17.0 147.5 89% 65–70 ✓
Temple @ SMU +16.6 136.9 89% 64–77 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -5.3 137.9 29% 81–79 ✓
Kent State @ Northern Illinois +0.1 152.4 44% 83–76 ✗
St. John's @ Seton Hall +0.5 144.5 52% 65–80 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -4.8 140.8 31% 90–66 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -6.9 148.0 26% 83–87 ✗
Iowa State @ BYU +4.9 142.9 78% 72–87 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +12.6 150.9 83% 93–90 ✗
Georgia @ South Carolina +6.6 137.6 71% 74–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Arkansas -2.5 144.6 43% 77–78 ✗
Air Force @ Colorado State +16.8 135.2 90% 69–78 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State -0.3 139.6 53% 82–85 ✗
UNLV @ Boise State +7.1 140.2 77% 68–64 ✗
Utah State @ New Mexico +3.5 151.8 71% 86–99 ✓
Colgate @ Army -7.4 127.8 25% 64–56 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.3 158.8 15% 100–60 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +10.8 141.7 82% 68–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.