Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
20–14 on winners spread MAE 9.8 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rutgers @ Penn State +2.4 144.6 61% 67–75 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +0.5 140.1 53% 52–72 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut -3.4 131.9 40% 67–57 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +4.5 150.7 76% 51–62 ✓
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +1.0 144.0 55% 76–58 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +7.0 131.2 74% 65–76 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Kentucky +16.3 154.7 90% 73–113 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Belmont +13.4 157.2 88% 66–79 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount +2.0 124.9 52% 65–61 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -4.6 141.6 32% 62–51 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State +2.6 126.0 55% 78–66 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Murray State +0.4 134.2 55% 85–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay +7.0 146.2 79% 69–72 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado -2.1 140.6 44% 76–78 ✗
Indiana @ Iowa +12.6 159.6 84% 81–69 ✗
UCLA @ California -6.9 145.7 25% 61–57 ✓
Arizona @ Arizona State -6.4 154.8 29% 84–82 ✓
Portland @ BYU +21.5 149.9 91% 67–95 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State +0.6 137.7 50% 67–65 ✗
Pacific @ Pepperdine -2.1 142.4 42% 68–85 ✗
Southern Utah @ Weber State +8.2 159.1 77% 67–91 ✓
Utah @ Washington State +1.5 135.1 53% 71–56 ✗
San Francisco @ Santa Clara -1.6 134.2 42% 73–50 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +0.0 133.6 45% 64–57 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +6.5 139.8 67% 84–76 ✗
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -10.7 139.8 17% 95–65 ✓
Niagara @ Quinnipiac -0.5 131.5 43% 59–56 ✓
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +0.8 145.4 55% 70–82 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +4.3 149.8 67% 71–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut -3.4 130.1 40% 64–65 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay -2.6 158.7 42% 59–77 ✗
UIC @ Youngstown State -1.7 145.3 41% 67–66 ✓
Georgia State @ App State -2.2 148.9 46% 71–80 ✗
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +13.5 133.8 87% 81–90 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.