Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO +140 EWU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -4.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.5 (+3.5) | 139.3 (+14.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.0 (+4.0) | 140.6 (+13.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.6 (+3.6) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.1 (+4.1) | 140.6 (+13.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#243) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#283) | -0.25 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#292) | -0.09 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#267) | 0.538 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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