Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -150 IDST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -0.2 (-7.2) | 133.1 (-12.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.2 (-8.2) | 129.6 (-8.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -0.8 (-7.8) | 133.0 (-12.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -0.0 (-7.0) | 133.6 (-12.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#280) | -5.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#294) | -1.03 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#314) | -1.68 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#315) | 0.455 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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