Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PSU +150 RUTG -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -3.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -2.7 (+5.3) | 145.8 (-3.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -3.4 (+4.6) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -2.8 (+5.2) | 148.8 (-6.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -2.4 (+5.6) | 144.6 (-2.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#44) | 9.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#90) | 2.10 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#57) | 3.19 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#79) | 0.574 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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