Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -600 IU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -13.4 (-25.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -12.9 (-24.9) | 160.1 (-10.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -11.3 (-23.3) | 157.5 (-7.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -13.2 (-25.2) | 161.4 (-11.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -12.6 (-24.6) | 159.6 (-9.6) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 IU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | IOWA 85 – 60 IU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | IU 74 – 68 IOWA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | IOWA 90 – 68 IU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | IOWA 91 – 89 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 21.9 (#3) | 11.3 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#5) | 1.84 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.51 (#4) | 2.85 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#23) | 0.559 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 2.14 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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