Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -163 WICH +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +20 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -1.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -0.4 (+20.4) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -1.4 (+18.6) | 137.1 (-13.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -0.1 (+20.1) | 141.7 (-17.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -0.5 (+19.5) | 140.1 (-16.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 16-6 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Home | 10-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#106) | 8.9 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | 2.53 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#117) | 3.32 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#189) | 0.625 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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