Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +150 MONT -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SAC -2.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -1.9 (-13.9) | 124.5 (+19.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -3.0 (-15.0) | 126.7 (+17.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -3.0 (-15.0) | 126.9 (+17.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -2.6 (-14.6) | 126.0 (+18.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-12 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#189) | -1.4 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#215) | -1.59 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#203) | -1.86 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#231) | 0.467 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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