Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +170 SF -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +23 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -3.8 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -1.6 (-21.4) | 134.6 (-11.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -1.9 (-21.1) | 137.2 (-14.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -2.4 (-20.6) | 138.5 (-15.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -1.6 (-21.4) | 134.2 (-11.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 4-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | 6.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#75) | 0.80 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#109) | 0.83 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#46) | 0.555 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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