Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +138 ARIZ -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -6.6 (+4.6) | 155.6 (+10.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -7.4 (+5.4) | 154.2 (+11.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.3 (+4.3) | 156.9 (+9.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.4 (+4.4) | 154.8 (+11.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | 13.2 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#156) | 1.78 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#148) | 2.56 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#150) | 0.579 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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