Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -600 TROY +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -16.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+42.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -12.6 (-3.6) | 132.4 (+38.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -14.1 (-5.1) | 137.4 (+33.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -13.2 (-4.2) | 134.0 (+37.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -13.5 (-4.5) | 133.8 (+37.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TROY 83 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | TROY 72 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TROY 95 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | CCU 73 – 63 TROY |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TROY 69 – 59 CCU |
Game Analysis
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