Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | APP +175 GAST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -6.3 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -1.6 (+10.6) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -2.5 (+11.5) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -1.5 (+10.5) | 150.5 (+0.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -2.2 (+11.2) | 148.9 (+2.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | APP 52 – 50 GAST |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GAST 70 – 63 APP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GAST 70 – 65 APP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | APP 80 – 76 GAST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | APP 81 – 71 GAST |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.