Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -110 SFPA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -0.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.5 (+11.5) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.5 (+11.5) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.3 (+11.7) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.8 (+11.2) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#261) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#166) | -0.13 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#177) | 0.10 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#262) | 0.514 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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