Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -120 FDU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -4.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-46.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.7 (+7.3) | 153.5 (-40.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.3 (+7.7) | 144.8 (-31.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.0 (+6.0) | 150.3 (-37.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -4.5 (+6.5) | 150.7 (-37.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 FDU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 56 FDU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRMK 67 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FDU 78 – 71 MRMK |
| Dec 30, 2022 | FDU 71 – 63 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#302) | -10.2 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#243) | -1.76 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#242) | -2.32 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#334) | 0.393 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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