Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +1000 WRST -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +30 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -13.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -11.6 (-18.4) | 137.6 (+22.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -11.0 (-19.0) | 138.8 (+21.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -10.5 (-19.5) | 140.9 (+19.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -10.7 (-19.3) | 139.8 (+20.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 18-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 3-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-5 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#277) | 8.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#224) | 0.20 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#261) | 0.57 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#257) | 0.525 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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