Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GB -120 PFW +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -3.8 (+21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.0 (+21.0) | 158.5 (-22.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -1.0 (+19.0) | 154.6 (-18.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.1 (+16.9) | 156.6 (-20.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -2.6 (+20.6) | 158.7 (-22.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#297) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#309) | -0.40 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#294) | -0.68 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#295) | 0.484 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 43.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 60.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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