Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -225 SEMO +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -7.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -6.9 (+4.1) | 130.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -5.4 (+5.6) | 127.3 (+13.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -6.2 (+4.8) | 131.3 (+9.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -7.0 (+4.0) | 131.2 (+9.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | -7.6 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#149) | -1.96 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#146) | -2.31 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#158) | 0.388 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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