Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +100 NIA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +3 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -0.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.4 (-2.6) | 130.1 (-15.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -0.6 (-2.4) | 131.6 (-16.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.2 (-1.8) | 132.4 (-17.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -0.5 (-2.5) | 131.5 (-16.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | NIA 78 – 76 QUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUIN 56 – 55 NIA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NIA 76 – 75 QUIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NIA 80 – 66 QUIN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | QUIN 75 – 68 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 9-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#270) | -4.0 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#282) | -1.10 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#274) | -1.35 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#284) | 0.444 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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