That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–8 on winners spread MAE 9.1 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bucknell @ Niagara +18.9 140.9 96% 73–64 ✗
UAlbany @ Columbia +12.6 148.4 87% 78–75 ✗
Saint Francis @ Santa Clara +23.2 137.6 98% 59–82 ✓
Louisiana @ Toledo +20.3 142.6 97% 78–87 ✓
Siena @ Richmond +16.4 153.0 93% 48–90 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +13.5 142.6 89% 65–89 ✓
Omaha @ North Texas +9.2 145.1 80% 64–75 ✓
Holy Cross @ Georgetown +15.8 149.9 92% 68–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ UC Irvine +24.3 136.2 99% 74–91 ✓
Long Beach State @ DePaul +3.1 151.3 61% 77–73 ✗
San Diego @ UC San Diego +5.2 152.7 68% 63–69 ✓
Bryant @ Rutgers +20.9 125.1 97% 57–66 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Cincinnati +20.1 147.5 97% 73–85 ✓
Maryland @ UAB -1.4 137.7 45% 63–66 ✗
Air Force @ Delaware +20.2 132.9 97% 57–65 ✓
Idaho State @ Iowa State +25.1 130.4 99% 55–86 ✓
Lehigh @ North Carolina +15.2 157.5 92% 68–90 ✓
San José State @ Texas Tech +17.6 133.6 95% 42–56 ✓
Elon @ North Dakota +9.7 165.7 81% 68–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Purdue Fort Wayne +24.7 140.8 99% 64–86 ✓
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State +0.7 128.2 52% 70–85 ✓
Davidson @ Clemson -0.2 138.9 49% 65–68 ✗
Howard @ James Madison +21.0 181.9 97% 86–107 ✓
Merrimack @ Maine +7.7 130.7 76% 71–65 ✗
Lafayette @ Pepperdine +18.9 144.4 96% 53–76 ✓
Chicago State @ Southern Indiana +17.4 124.7 94% 78–67 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Baylor +14.0 156.1 90% 62–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Georgia +17.1 150.4 94% 54–64 ✓
UC Riverside @ Portland +13.4 140.9 89% 65–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon +23.2 142.9 98% 55–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.