Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -900 SIE +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +42 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -17.2 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -12.5 (+29.5) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -15.4 (+26.6) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-1 | 2-12 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | -3.3 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#122) | 0.48 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#115) | 0.48 (#146) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.29 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 9.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.1% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 61.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 5.5% |
Game Analysis
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