Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | DEP -125 LBSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | DEP -3.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -0.2 (-3.8) | 146.0 (+4.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -1.3 (-5.3) | 146.3 (+3.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-15 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#295) | 2.3 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#322) | -0.48 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#319) | -0.60 (#212) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 28.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 47.2% |
Game Analysis
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