Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | DEL -250 AF +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -21.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -14.3 (-6.3) | 136.7 (-14.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -16.8 (-8.8) | 134.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -14.0 (-6.0) | 133.4 (-11.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2022 | AF 75 – 71 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-12 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#14) | 2.7 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#25) | 0.26 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#22) | 0.39 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#219) | 0.750 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 43.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 82.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.3% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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