Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -480 LAF +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +23 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -19.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -10.9 (+12.1) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -11.4 (+11.6) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#91) | -3.5 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#228) | -0.65 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#187) | -0.91 (#251) |
| RPI | — | 0.562 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.0% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 25.7% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 47.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.