Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -440 NMSU +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -23.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -11.4 (+5.6) | 137.4 (+27.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -12.9 (+4.1) | 134.2 (+30.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | NMSU 57 – 45 UCI |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UCI 85 – 68 NMSU |
| Nov 10, 2021 | NMSU 62 – 51 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-0 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#148) | -10.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#231) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#225) | -0.66 (#226) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 32.1% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 36.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 8.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 8.7% |
| DRB% | 82.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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