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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 13.7
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Morris
@
Towson
|
+16.6 | 132.7 | 93% | 62–66 | ✓ |
Army
@
Indiana
|
+18.7 | 126.1 | 96% | 64–72 | ✓ |
UC Davis
@
Montana
|
+12.5 | 145.2 | 87% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Nevada
@
Washington
|
+15.1 | 141.6 | 91% | 83–76 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
St. John's
|
+6.7 | 163.7 | 73% | 89–73 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.