Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | IU -20.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -12.1 (-4.1) | 133.5 (+2.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -14.0 (-6.0) | 130.4 (+5.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#215) | -10.5 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#132) | -1.63 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#139) | -2.30 (#319) |
| RPI | — | 0.333 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 31.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 36.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 42.2% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 88.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 3.2% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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