Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -700 HOW +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +21 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -17.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -10.6 (+10.4) | 162.2 (+30.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.1 (+10.9) | 164.3 (+28.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -12.0 (+9.0) | 168.3 (+24.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | JMU 95 – 69 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 12-2 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#25) | 3.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#3) | 0.05 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#4) | 0.20 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#15) | 0.688 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 52.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 46.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 44.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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