Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -1000 BRY +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -23.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -13.8 (-4.8) | 129.6 (-6.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -18.7 (-9.7) | 128.7 (-5.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -15.2 (-6.2) | 130.4 (-7.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#87) | -7.5 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#177) | -2.17 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#171) | -2.89 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#179) | 0.250 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 38.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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