Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -400 DAV +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -0.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.3 (+1.7) | 137.6 (-4.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.2 (+1.8) | 136.1 (-3.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.4 (-1.4) | 133.0 (+0.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | 0.7 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#103) | 1.38 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#143) | 1.86 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#185) | 1.000 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 53.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 39.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.