This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–9 on winners spread MAE 8.7 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +6.8 143.3 78% 66–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +4.1 144.0 63% 58–71 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.3 131.6 45% 58–51 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant +9.2 153.0 82% 78–91 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +4.2 143.4 71% 45–72 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +6.2 139.0 76% 64–61 ✗
Nicholls @ Lamar +0.8 137.0 51% 55–58 ✓
UCF @ Utah +2.4 155.8 61% 87–72 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +7.3 143.8 80% 55–78 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +4.8 133.0 71% 65–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech +0.4 133.6 53% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Iowa State +7.6 137.5 83% 56–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +2.8 139.1 58% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina @ Arkansas +4.8 140.2 73% 68–72 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.5 128.7 69% 65–62 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State +0.1 134.5 57% 61–66 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +3.8 154.3 67% 88–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +9.4 150.9 79% 56–76 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +4.6 129.9 63% 67–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -4.1 128.1 29% 72–64 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt -0.1 149.4 47% 79–72 ✓
Butler @ Providence -0.3 146.4 48% 75–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +15.5 140.9 87% 71–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +1.2 144.2 53% 78–71 ✗
Lamar @ McNeese +13.5 134.2 87% 54–63 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +14.1 139.2 90% 70–77 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +5.2 143.3 73% 64–78 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +5.1 154.9 58% 77–70 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +8.9 137.5 81% 60–81 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +4.1 142.6 67% 71–67 ✗
LSU @ Mississippi State +8.6 150.4 79% 62–91 ✓
Navy @ American University +3.3 135.1 65% 52–74 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +14.3 131.5 87% 59–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +6.7 134.6 78% 56–70 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.0 142.7 63% 73–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.