I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–9 on winners spread MAE 7.2 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls +4.8 138.2 70% 70–74 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +19.3 131.8 90% 59–74 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +3.4 144.4 66% 67–68 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +4.4 141.7 68% 80–70 ✗
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +1.8 139.3 61% 56–54 ✗
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +10.0 152.4 83% 76–85 ✓
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State -4.7 137.4 37% 87–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +5.3 130.8 75% 56–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -3.7 139.5 34% 54–55 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +1.7 130.5 59% 69–67 ✗
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +0.3 140.1 46% 72–65 ✗
California @ Virginia Tech -1.5 144.5 41% 82–73 ✓
Siena @ Rider -1.4 138.2 54% 76–78 ✗
Sam Houston @ UTEP +0.3 143.7 56% 65–79 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +8.2 147.3 81% 72–76 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +2.7 130.6 67% 57–42 ✗
Northwestern State @ McNeese +16.9 134.8 89% 64–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +11.1 135.5 85% 46–43 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +2.6 145.8 67% 78–89 ✓
Arizona State @ Kansas State +1.3 141.9 62% 66–71 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +3.3 149.5 63% 66–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.