Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -135 SHSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.3 (+13.7) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.6 (+12.4) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.6 (+13.4) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.4 (+12.6) | 146.1 (-2.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SHSU 70 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SHSU 89 – 87 UTEP |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 72 SHSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UTEP 65 – 63 SHSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SHSU 65 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#157) | -1.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#143) | -0.16 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#158) | -0.08 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#157) | 0.490 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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