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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–12 on winners spread MAE 7.9 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Notre Dame -3.6 142.0 34% 57–43 ✓
Kansas City @ Western Illinois +4.9 143.1 68% 83–75 ✗
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -5.3 135.1 28% 65–50 ✓
Hartford @ Maine -7.6 138.2 21% 78–66 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +14.1 133.2 87% 61–73 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah +11.6 148.0 87% 66–78 ✓
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +0.3 140.9 60% 63–70 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +13.7 134.9 86% 75–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech -4.8 135.7 34% 70–56 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay +3.9 138.0 70% 63–68 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer -4.2 138.2 33% 62–67 ✗
Iowa @ Penn State -4.0 136.1 32% 86–90 ✗
Howard @ South Carolina State -4.6 149.4 31% 55–58 ✗
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +5.1 141.7 73% 72–79 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -14.2 156.4 16% 70–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M -0.6 123.7 41% 52–67 ✗
Colorado State @ Wyoming +2.4 141.9 67% 78–84 ✓
Southern @ Jackson State -3.3 131.8 33% 75–64 ✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State +5.8 139.7 71% 80–73 ✗
West Virginia @ Baylor +13.9 137.1 87% 77–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +6.9 155.6 77% 84–90 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -3.0 141.9 38% 67–70 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +1.6 139.1 51% 66–65 ✗
Pacific @ Santa Clara +11.0 146.0 83% 59–81 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma +4.6 128.5 68% 72–63 ✗
New Mexico @ San Diego State +15.5 142.6 88% 47–72 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Portland State -2.9 149.7 44% 76–79 ✗
Boston College @ Virginia +7.8 121.5 79% 55–67 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +10.7 139.8 85% 59–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.