Betting Lines
| Spread | ALST -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ALST -3.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALST -1.6 (-2.6) | 139.1 (-8.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALST -1.3 (-2.3) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALST -1.3 (-2.3) | 139.1 (-8.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALST -1.2 (-2.2) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAMU 76 – 63 ALST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | ALST 79 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ALST 60 – 59 FAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALST 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAMU 73 – 65 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#306) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#332) | -1.37 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#327) | -2.02 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#337) | 0.434 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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