Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +15 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -5.3 (-9.7) | 135.1 (-20.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.5 (-12.5) | 137.9 (-22.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -3.0 (-12.0) | 137.8 (-22.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -1.7 (-13.3) | 136.5 (-21.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
Game Analysis
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