Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -1.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.6 (+15.6) | 123.7 (-4.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.1 (+15.1) | 127.0 (-8.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.2 (+15.2) | 125.8 (-6.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.4 (+15.4) | 127.4 (-8.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.4 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#339) | -11.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#336) | -2.27 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#338) | -2.72 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#343) | 0.374 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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